Cannabis Laffer Curve Expanded:
The Netherlands Sparked North American Interest
In an earlier post, we examined the recreational pot tax structure. Using US-only data, we discovered that at its frontier, a Laffer Curve formed that described the maximum amount of tax revenues possible given specific tax rates.
Here we entertain other authorities taxing legal recreational pot. Added to the blue points forming a limit is another describing the tax rate and revenue per user for The Netherlands (NL) in 2008 (adjusted for inflation). Through these blue points, the Laffer Curve explains 90% of their variation and is highly negative (power exponent -1.61).
Also considered now but not part of the Laffer Curve is the recent experience of British Columbia (BL 2019). Observe it registered minuscule tax revenues.
At least 3 factors influence cannabis tax receipts: 1) Ease of legal access: BC, OR, and CA lag far behind their better-organized counterparts in making legal recreational marijuana sufficiently available. 2) Tax rate: From 15.3% (NV 2019) to 108% (WA 2014), revenues go up as tax percentages go down. 3) The proximity of lower-cost options: some would-be CA or CA tourist receipts or go to NV or black markets.
#laffercurve #market #marketanalysis #price #taxpolicy #demand #tax
The Netherlands Sparked North American Interest